Archive for the ‘Science’ Category

Reflections on MPLS 2009

Monday, December 14th, 2009

It has been well over a month since I attended the MPLS 2009 conference and participated in the panel on Emerging Technologies and Business Architectural Impact, and it is about time (over-due) that I posted my thoughts.

Foremost, I should say Thank You to Monique Morrow for organizing such a great panel and inviting me to participate.  I’ve known Monique as a colleague and friend for a while now, and whenever we have chance to meet she never fails to impress me.  In the context of this panel, I was dumbfounded at the quality and breadth of the other participants that she secured.  Monique moderated the discussion such that the panel’s large size was a benefit rather than liability.  As a panel we managed to cover multiple topics with decent depth, and were each allowed to illustrate our different perspectives.  I’ve been told by several audience members that it was an excellent panel, and from my (admittedly biased) perspective I must agree.

As for the discussion itself, I very much enjoyed participating.  Considering the quality of the other panelists, I am honored to have been included; each of the other panelists are recognizable for their contributions and role in the industry.  Given my respect for the other panelists, I tried to enter the conversation prepared and did not hold back any of my significant thoughts during the discussion… for better or worse.

Some of my comments may have included points that were controversial.  For instance, one theme that ran through the entire discussion was the complex balance of cost vs. capacity vs. features in network devices.  I challenged comments from Vijay Gill (of Google) and Donn Lee (of Facebook) which argued in favor of very-large dumb switches. ("dumb" is my word choice, but I suspect they would agree)  From their perspectives, as engineers for large web properties, they need to scale out single-tenant environments to support Internet-scale traffic loads and a simple L2 or L3 switch would enable their topology.  But, I argued, they were "weird" in their requirements, which are unique to large web properties.  Service providers and enterprise environments need more features in order to deal with the complexity and changing "customer" requirements they face daily.

After the panel I had the opportunity to chat with Vijay and Donn, and they had an interesting view of the cost / capacity / features debate.  Their comments deserve some focus, so look for a future post on this topic.

Another topic was the relevance of standards, which wasn’t particularly controversial but which caused some interesting comments.  My point was that standards are critical to the industry, but in the same way that fundamental research is critical to science and technology (broadly speaking).  We need to put effort into standards because it brings people together and promotes the state of the art.  But we also need to recognize that functioning interoperable implementations are what matter, regardless of the standards conformance, etc.  In other words, standards bodies should work diligently but not take themselves too seriously in the process.

Regardless, I hope to be included in future panels such as this one (at the MPLS conference and/or elsewhere) and I’m glad to have had the opportunity at MPLS 2009.  I would absolutely recommend that you attend future panels by Monique, at MPLS 2010 or otherwise, whether I’m taking part or not. Though, obviously, it would be better with my opinion included. ;)

It’s “Climate Change”, stupid.

Monday, March 9th, 2009

A friend sent me a link to an OpEd piece in the Boston Globe entitled Where’s Global Warming? and I have to say I’m surprised. Why are people still so confused?

In my opinion, one of the biggest problems is wording. The term “global warming” is a misnomer. Scientists are really talking about “climate change” compared to modern norms.

Unfortunately, it’s too easy for people to hear “warming” and think it doesn’t apply, thereby dismissing the entire topic. It’s even easier for people to dismiss “climate change” because they don’t notice it themselves. I.e. “the weather doesn’t seem that different to me!” But thinking this way is short-sighted and foolish.

What we need to worry about is climate change to such a degree that our existence (or mode of existence) is threatened. Given what we know, it would probably happen (at least in part) as a result of man-made “greenhouse gasses” (molecules that hold large amounts of energy when heated/irradiated). But it could be related to all sorts of things. Is climate change also related to intensity or duration of wars? High-altitude flights? UFO visits in the middle of the night? ;) Or, more seriously, geothermal events and/or oceanic patterns? Probably all of the above, but who knows?

Science is not a god. It is neither perfect nor exact. But it’s better than a raw opinion. Raw opinion and the biased speculation that “supported” it has confused man for ages. The world was once thought to be flat. The sun was once thought to orbit the earth. Etc. Etc. Etc. Fortunately we have developed a view of reality that is based on observation and logic: science. It’s not perfect, just as our ability to observe and our ability to rationalize logically are imperfect. But random skepticism is not a better choice.

As for Gore… well, who knows. But at least people are thinking about climate change now. That deserves some applause.

LHC and the New Universe

Wednesday, September 10th, 2008

In honor of the successful LHC First Beam (webcast available at http://webcast.cern.ch/), and looking forward to the First Collision coming in about a month, here is a quote from The Restaurant at the End of the Universe by Douglas Adams:

There is a theory which states that if ever anyone discovers
exactly what the Universe is for and why it is here, it will
instantly disappear and be replaced by something even more
bizarre and inexplicable.

There is another theory which states that this has already
happened.

Urge to Merge

Friday, August 8th, 2008

An interesting article on queueing theory and our behavior in traffic, called The Urge to Merge in the New York Times:

The first time I deliberately made special invite room for a sidezoomer this summer — a lane-drop bottleneck en route to Lake Tahoe, me dubiously opening the extra-long space in front of my car — I swear I could see the zoomer beside me start to accelerate, hesitate and then with me murmuring, Come on pal, we can do this together, finally shrug his S.U.V. into the merge. Neither of us had to brake. I’ll be honest, though: I missed my minuscule occasion of power, and I’m guessing he did, too

Time to Start Invading Other Planets

Tuesday, August 5th, 2008

Via this Treehugger post, I found a brilliant article entitled Too Many People, Too Much Consumption. I find myself wanting to quote much of the article, so I’ll settle on an excerpt from the opening:

Over some 60 million years, Homo sapiens has evolved into the dominant animal on the planet, acquiring binocular vision, upright posture, large brains, and — most importantly — language with syntax and that complex store of non-genetic information we call culture. However, in the last several centuries we’ve increasingly been using our relatively newly acquired power, especially our culturally evolved technologies, to deplete the natural capital of Earth — in particular its deep, rich agricultural soils, its groundwater stored during ice ages, and its biodiversity — as if there were no tomorrow.

The point, all too often ignored, is that this trend is being driven in large part by a combination of population growth and increasing per capita consumption, and it cannot be long continued without risking a collapse of our now-global civilization.

EarthThe main point of the article is that we, as a global civilization, need to have open discussion about population growth and its inevitable impact on Earth’s ecosystem. It points out several things that we have done wrong (such as building cities that pave over the most fertile land), how our thinking drives us to continue doing wrong (such as our reliance on consumption to drive the economy), and suggests that it might still be possible for us to save ourselves if we change. But if we fail to adapt our behavior then we will fall prey to the underlying homeostatic principles that govern ecosystems.

Sadly, the human animal is terrible at intentional change. That is, identifying some undesired truth about themselves and then changing their behavior, perspective, and mind. Of the people I know best, there are only a few that are any good at this and they seem to approach it from a religious angle. Given that their religions explicitly encourage population growth it seems unlikely that they would identify with the goals outlined by the authors of this article. And from a human perspective, imposing limits on childbirth goes against what evolution has distilled in us. The powerful emotional pain associated with being unable to give birth tears partners apart. Just imagine what it would do to a government.

Milky Way GalaxySo what can we do? Nuclear power seems like a better option than petroleum, but clearly it has its own limitations. Solar and other forms of power may help, but power isn’t our only issue. Maybe we need to farm off-planet and import food from space. Or if we’re going in that direction, perhaps we should just accept that we are the alien invaders described commonly in science fiction. We should spread into space, find suitable environments and/or seek to use terraforming technology. Hell, maybe we could find other alien species and eat them.

At my age, given the state of today’s medical technology, I might just be alive as the Earth reaches its limit. I’m curious (excited even) to see whether we can evolve intentionally, whether we become an extra-terrestrial species, or whether we slide into the dystopian future that seems to loom ahead. Or maybe all of the above…