Archive for the ‘Ecology’ Category

Ideologically Derived Facts

Friday, August 20th, 2010

There’s a great post today on a statistics blog I read, entitled Some things are just really hard to believe: more on choosing your facts. You should read this for yourself, but from my preconceived anti-ideological worldview the truth of it is almost self-evident. Here’s an excerpt:

Of course, it makes sense that people with different judgment of the facts would have different views on policies: if you think carbon dioxide doesn’t cause substantial global warming, you’ll be on the opposite side of the global warming debate from someone who thinks it does. But often the causality runs the other way: instead of choosing a policy that matches the facts, people choose to believe the facts that back up their values-driven policies. The issue about Obama’s birth country is an extreme example: it’s clear that people did not first decide whether Obama was born in the U.S., and then decide whether to vote Republican or Democratic. They are choosing their fact based on their values, not the other way around. Perhaps it is helpful to think of people as having an inappropriate prior distribution that makes them more likely to believe things that are aligned with their desires.

Eagles of Hornby Island

Tuesday, May 11th, 2010

My wife just sent me a link to a webcam, watching over an eagle’s nest.  Within the nest is at least one baby eagle, which you can hear via audio.  It’s beautiful and awesome (while also being a bit boring… or perhaps, peaceful is a better word).

I’ve embedded the webcam here, but I’d encourage you to visit the actual website at http://www.hornbyeagles.com/webcam.htm where you can learn more, find links to discussion, etc.

1859 Printing of The Origin of Species

Friday, January 1st, 2010

Emily had the opportunity to look at this book recently whilst visiting a private research library. It’s an original first edition printing of The Origin of Species by Charles Darwin (as the first printing, it’s technically entitled On the Origin of Species by Means of Natural Selection, or the Preservation of Favoured Races in the Struggle for Life). I’m envious that I didn’t get to see it, but she took these pictures for me.



It’s “Climate Change”, stupid.

Monday, March 9th, 2009

A friend sent me a link to an OpEd piece in the Boston Globe entitled Where’s Global Warming? and I have to say I’m surprised. Why are people still so confused?

In my opinion, one of the biggest problems is wording. The term “global warming” is a misnomer. Scientists are really talking about “climate change” compared to modern norms.

Unfortunately, it’s too easy for people to hear “warming” and think it doesn’t apply, thereby dismissing the entire topic. It’s even easier for people to dismiss “climate change” because they don’t notice it themselves. I.e. “the weather doesn’t seem that different to me!” But thinking this way is short-sighted and foolish.

What we need to worry about is climate change to such a degree that our existence (or mode of existence) is threatened. Given what we know, it would probably happen (at least in part) as a result of man-made “greenhouse gasses” (molecules that hold large amounts of energy when heated/irradiated). But it could be related to all sorts of things. Is climate change also related to intensity or duration of wars? High-altitude flights? UFO visits in the middle of the night? ;) Or, more seriously, geothermal events and/or oceanic patterns? Probably all of the above, but who knows?

Science is not a god. It is neither perfect nor exact. But it’s better than a raw opinion. Raw opinion and the biased speculation that “supported” it has confused man for ages. The world was once thought to be flat. The sun was once thought to orbit the earth. Etc. Etc. Etc. Fortunately we have developed a view of reality that is based on observation and logic: science. It’s not perfect, just as our ability to observe and our ability to rationalize logically are imperfect. But random skepticism is not a better choice.

As for Gore… well, who knows. But at least people are thinking about climate change now. That deserves some applause.

TripAdvisor “Causes” Contest

Tuesday, October 7th, 2008

Via a website that is using one of my (CC licensed) photos of the Santa Cruz highlands in the Galapagos Islands, a blog called My Bella Vita, I found out about the TripAdvisor Causes contest. The idea is that TripAdvisor is collecting votes for various causes such as Conservation International, National Geographic, and Doctors Without Borders, and whichever organization wins the most votes will be given a $1 million grant. I voted for the Nature Conservancy myself, but these are all wonderful causes and I would encourage you to vote for whichever one you prefer.